OpenAI Sora News

Not before 2027

2026

2025

YES

YES

NO

YES

Runs entirely on silicon-based non-quantum machines

The existence of the AGI and the model name were leaked prior to release and official announcement

Developed by a US company

Trained with synthetic data and self-play

Doomsday clock moved at least one full minute closer to midnight due to this AI

Transformer based or mix of Transformer and other architectures

Has an internal World Model able to simulate basic physics without external tools

Not available in EU countries initially for the first 4 months after public release

Based on/inspired by algorithms from the human brain (beyond neural networks).

Public announcement was made after 1 year or more of finishing training

Not a static model; weights change during inference

Used by a Figure humanoid robot

Infinite context window

Solves at least one of the seven Millennium Problems

This market will resolve N/A

Based on/inspired by OpenAI's Sora (resolves YES if explicitly stated by developers in announcement or paper)

Is OpenAI's GPT-6, whatever name or architecture it has

No consensus that it's AGI until over a month after being announced and interacting with people outside the lab.

Developed by a Chinese company

Open sourced

Developed by the open-source community instead of a company

Developed by an EU company

YES

YES

YES