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Prediction markets for Opportunities

Will I find AI to negatively impact my job opportunities as a coder by 2032?

Dec 26, 10:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

91.44%chance

784287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3457

431

The Opportunities Party (TOP) will be represented in what upcoming New Zealand parliamentary sessions?

Jul 15, 6:19 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

32484

OptionProbability

55th parliament

57th parliament

58th parliament

59th parliament

60th parliament

56th parliament

21

20

20

20

20

12

The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?

Jun 17, 5:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.27%chance

151505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will US citizens have the opportunity to vacation in North Korea on January 1st 2040?

Feb 18, 10:27 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.54%chance

261108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1121

931

Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?

Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM

20.06%chance

2875

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

101

Will Te Pati Maori or Opportunity Party poll at 5.00% or more for the 2026 NZ election?

Jan 29, 2:06 AMNov 25, 2:06 AM

5626

OptionProbability

Opportunity Party polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?

Te Pati Maori polls at 5.00% or more in 3 or more polls?

40

14

Fixed Income Mana Investment Opportunity!!!!

Apr 26, 9:37 AMApr 27, 6:59 AM

6541

OptionProbability

NO

YES

133

66

If AI doesn't destroy the world, will it be primarily because it lacked the means, motive, or opportunity?

Sep 9, 3:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5106

OptionProbability

It lacked the means

It lacked the motive

It lacked the opportunity

56

36

7

Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?

Jun 4, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.72%chance

320

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

86

Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Mar 18, 12:00 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.73%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

997

Recommend physics opportunities for young high schoolers

Dec 19, 5:47 PM

00

would you go to the moon if you had the opportunity for free and your safe return was guaranteed?

Apr 3, 7:16 AM

400

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