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Prediction markets for Opposition

Will Justin Trudeau be leader of the opposition after the next Canadian election?

Mar 25, 2:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

0.42%chance

163214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2704

13

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

17.69%chance

232323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2157

464

Will Jagmeet Singh still be the leader of the opposition after the next Canadian election?

Mar 25, 2:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1%chance

92099

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

13

Oppositional Position Market 9

May 1, 3:19 AMJan 1, 4:17 AM

50%chance

5527

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the US Senate confirm an opposite-party Supreme Court nominee before 2030?

Feb 21, 1:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.74%chance

17476

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

950

Oppositional Position Market 6

May 1, 3:18 AMJan 1, 4:17 AM

49.5%chance

4438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

Will there be a significant public opposition to 6G cellular networks rollout when it happens?

Sep 1, 12:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

57.41%chance

13413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

957

Oppositional Position Market 3

May 1, 3:17 AMJan 1, 4:16 AM

50%chance

4291

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Oppositional Position Market 4

May 1, 3:17 AMJan 1, 4:17 AM

50%chance

4286

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Next Danish Election: Which pairs of parties will govern together or be in opposition together [read description]

Mar 19, 8:54 PMJan 11, 7:59 AM

2270

OptionProbability

Social Democrats & Danish Social Liberal Party

Social Democrats & Venstre

Social Democrats & Moderates

Social Democrats & Green Left

Venstre & Moderates

Venstre & Green Left

Venstre & Liberal Alliance

Venstre & Conservative People's Party

Venstre & Danish Social Liberal Party

Moderates & Green Left

Moderates & Liberal Alliance

Moderates & Conservative People's Party

Moderates & Danish Social Liberal Party

Green Left & Liberal Alliance

Green Left & Conservative People's Party

Green Left & Danish Social Liberal Party

Liberal Alliance & Conservative People's Party

Liberal Alliance & Danish Social Liberal Party

Conservative People's Party & Danish Social Liberal Party

Social Democrats & Liberal Alliance

Social Democrats & Conservative People's Party

66

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

34

34

Oppositional Position Market 10

May 1, 3:19 AMJan 1, 4:17 AM

50%chance

4262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Oppositional Position Market 1

May 1, 3:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

6223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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