Optimism Governance News

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.76%chance

2426325

OptionVotes

YES

32266

3099

Will I be radicalized against taxes by having a job?

Oct 16, 7:42 PMOct 16, 7:32 PM

21.12%chance

524773

OptionVotes

YES

1932

517

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Sep 25, 11:44 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

6.39%chance

72644

OptionVotes

YES

4431

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75.94%chance

321986

OptionVotes

YES

1679

610

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

Jan 5, 11:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.34%chance

399

OptionVotes

YES

105

Optimism Governance News

Prediction markets for Optimism Governance

Prediction markets for Optimism Governance

Prediction markets for Optimism Governance

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Will I be radicalized against taxes by having a job?

Will a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

DeepMind's DiLoCo - how big of a blow to compute governance?

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