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Prediction markets for Ordinals

Will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female priests by 2050?

Apr 27, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.33%chance

497835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1829

1678

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?

Jun 19, 6:27 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

8.47%chance

13688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1196

954

Will ordinary cinemas in English-speaking countries start showing subtitles for English-language films before 2030?

Mar 9, 11:46 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

87.2%chance

8653

OptionVotes

NO

YES

473

174

Ordinary Sausage hospitalized for food poisoning by 2030?

Oct 16, 1:13 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

38.04%chance

9167

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Will North Korean ordinance land on Japanese territory before 2028.

Dec 30, 3:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

7128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2040?

Jun 19, 6:28 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

16.71%chance

5108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

210

71

Can we find evidence for states with indefinite mass(beyond ordinary unstable resonances),

Dec 31, 3:32 PMJan 1, 3:31 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance face legal challenge by end of 2027?

Oct 23, 3:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance be invalidated by a court by end of 2029?

Oct 23, 3:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will a legal challenge delay the effective date of Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance?

Oct 23, 3:16 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will Guido Putignano win the Ordine al Merito della Repubblica Italiana (OMRI) by EOY2060?

Sep 21, 6:43 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

If it passes, when will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance take effect?

Oct 23, 3:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Before Nov 2027

Before Jan 2028

Before Apr 2028

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2029

Before Jan 2030

50

50

50

50

50

50

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