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Prediction markets for Oregon

Whose full self driving technology will I be able to order a robotaxi from first in Corvallis, Oregon?

May 27, 9:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1914831

OptionProbability

Telsa

Other

Waymo

Comma.ai

62

19

17

2

Will Jimmy Carter successfully finish the Oregon Trail before he dies?

Aug 11, 5:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

1%chance

93534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1901

61

Will Idaho take 10%+ of Oregon's land before 2030?

Feb 10, 3:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.77%chance

191263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

950

What will Oregon's 2025 bottle return rate be?

Jul 2, 4:48 PMJul 31, 6:59 AM

4604

Will Rochelle Shen die of dysentery on the Oregon Trail by 2035?

Aug 18, 11:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.46%chance

5488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

514

78

Will Tina Kotek be re-elected governor of Oregon in 2026?

Oct 14, 9:17 AMNov 5, 7:59 AM

85.4%chance

7297

OptionVotes

NO

YES

296

67

Will Idaho absorb part of Oregon before 2031?

Apr 1, 6:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.59%chance

11165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

Robert Neuman is running for governor of Oregon. Will his name be misspelled at least once by the press?

May 17, 10:35 PMNov 30, 11:33 PM

76.73%chance

7120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Jason Boyce is running for HD 45 in Oregon. Will any press member confuse him with Representative Boice from HD 1?

Jul 13, 11:36 PMNov 4, 12:30 AM

49.19%chance

439

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

Will a Republican win Oregon for President by 2050?

Apr 20, 2:52 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

30.01%chance

336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

67

What issues should Robert Neuman focus on while running for governor of Oregon?

Dec 31, 2:53 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

330

OptionProbability

Poverty

Homelessness

Equal rights

Employment

Racism

Other

38

31

8

8

8

8

Will janus/repligate, Rona Wang, Razib Khan, Ava Huang, Stephen Hsu, and Ben Yu ALL traverse the Oregon Trail by 2090?

Dec 2, 1:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.56%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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