Organisation armée secrète News

NO

Other

Oracle

Meta

Amazon

Microsoft

X

Steve Mnuchin/Liberty Strategic Capital

Susquehanna International Group

General Atlantic

Bobby Kotick

Pershing Square Capital / Bill Ackman

Alphabet

Walmart

Apple

Snap

Netflix

Sequoia Capital

Pinterest

Ebay

Spotify

Universal music group

Reddit

Berkshire Hathaway

Nvidia

Kanye West or organisations / investors affiliated with Kanye West

Verizon

Salesforce

Disney

Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc.

Kevin O’Leary and associated investors

[RESOLVES NO [DUPLICATE]]

Virgin Group

[RESOLVES NO: https://manifold.markets/CalebW/which-company-will-buy-tiktok-resol#tahulw9u8j] - A new US publicly trade entity created to aquire it

IBM

AT&T

YES

NO

NO

Isaac likes experimenting

You'd say you're more of a dog person than a cat person

You've been in a desert once

You regret ever making WvM (feel free to n/a if you'd rather not say)

You have ever looked through list of a Manifold user's bets to determine their position on some question

You've been vegetarian for >1 continuous year

(if you're not married) you've thought about marrying your current partner (if you're in a relationship)

You like listening to violin more than you like listening to piano

You're older than me (I'm 23)

you consider your partner to be your best friend as well

You're younger than 30

You think it's fine for minors to date adults

You consider yourself part of the rationality sphere

You think of yourself as a dog person more than a cat person

You seem to enjoy indie stuff more than the average person does

you've defected on some sort of deal you made with another person

The first book you remember reading in your life has an animal as its main character

You tend to wear the same outfit every day.

You think the effective altruism philosophy is good but the community overall is ineffective in implementing that philosophy

You've spent a day in which you read a (single) book (or similar) for 10+ hrs

You're an effective altruist

You are qorrenqial

You've read the CFAR Handbook

You've held a gun in your hands before

You've fired a gun at a target before

You've jumped out of a plane

You have attended some program or camp organised by MIRI

You've knowingly misresolved a market once even though you didn't get called out for it

You've been to a nightclub

You've passed out from drinking alcohol

You like to eat out more than you like to cook and eat

You've worked with LED strip lights

You've wondered what it'd be like to have a different name

*You* have more than 6 stuffed animals

You know >4 programming langauges

You know >= 3 natural languages (in at least one of reading, speaking, or hearing understanding)

You've felt desires to purchase a car with mana

You have a political belief that'd cause at least one close friend to cut ties if they knew about it

You wish you spent significantly less time on Manifold

You sleep more during 7am->7pm hours than during 7pm->7am hours

You prefer if these answers start with "You" than with "isaac"

You feel you're the smartest member of your close family (mother, father, siblings)

You have thought about shooting lasers from your eyes at traffic lights

You have once made a joke about your name's similarity with Martin Luther King Jr.

You think the effective altruism community is ineffective at PR and image management

AI governance and policy

AI safety technical research

Biorisk research, strategy, and policy

Operations management in high-impact organisations

Grantmaker focused on pressing world problems

Nuclear weapons safety and security

Research into global priorities

Helping build the effective altruism community

Information security in high-impact areas

Expert in AI hardware

YES

NO

SpaceX

NASA

Other

NO

YES