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Prediction markets for Outreach

How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2024?

May 24, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91509

OptionProbability

Outreach

Research

Other

50

41

9

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

50.65%chance

7826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

987

Next pope regarded as conservative (YES) or liberal (NO)?

Apr 21, 3:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

23.24%chance

26447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025?

Apr 17, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7402

OptionProbability

Outreach

Research

Other

57

30

13

"Canadian highschools target low-scoring high schoolers with MAID, to raise standardized test scores"

Jun 25, 5:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.5%chance

7162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

308

107

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