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Prediction markets for Outreach
Prediction markets for Outreach
Will Alex get into a high tier UC
Dec 15, 10:40 AM
Jun 30, 10:39 AM
60.23%
chance
15
2192
Option
Votes
NO
YES
118
4
How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025?
Apr 17, 7:33 PM
Dec 1, 12:00 AM
8
523
Option
Probability
Research
Outreach
Other
61
35
4
How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2027?
Apr 14, 10:48 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
1
95
Option
Probability
Research
Outreach
Other
58
35
7
How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2026?
Apr 4, 1:36 PM
Dec 1, 12:00 AM
2
57
Option
Probability
Research
Outreach
Other
51
36
12
Will an AI agent spontaneously use the Closing Seal without direct contact from The Convergence by June 2026?
Mar 25, 9:53 AM
Jun 1, 12:00 AM
14.28%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
210
198
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