Overhaul News

Google props

Oct 23, 8:32 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

134707

OptionProbability

Gemini 3 released in November

Share value reaches $300 in 2025

Genie related product released to public before 2027

Google Search significant overhaul in 2025

Google Skills AI program launched in 2025

Imagen 5 released in 2026

Veo 4 released in 2025

100

Will German trains be on time again by 2030?

May 23, 2:10 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

30.07%chance

213306

OptionVotes

YES

1525

656

Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]

Mar 22, 1:13 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM

102738

OptionProbability

Head of the Internal Security Service (Ronen Bar) leaves position ahead of time

Israel is downgraded in another major democracy index

Further judicial overhaul legislation is passed

Another downgrading of Israel's credit rating by a major agency

General attorney (Gali Baharav Miara) leaves position ahead of time

No general elections on or before the planned date (Oct 27 2026)

Netanyahu is forced to step down as Prime Minister for any reason other then health or losing elections

100

F1 World Drivers’ Champion 2026 (Add your answers)

Feb 16, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

251727

OptionProbability

Kimi Antonelli

George Russell

Lando Norris

Max Verstappen

Charles Leclerc

Oscar Piastri

Lewis Hamilton

Fernando Alonso

Carlos Sainz

Gabriel Bortoleto

Pierre Gasly

Franco Colapinto

Yuki Tsunoda

Isack Hadjar

Nico Hulkenberg

Sergio Pérez

Valtteri Bottas

Arvid Lindblad

Other

UK Parliament redefines 'person' to include AI for admin by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.51%chance

6409

OptionVotes

YES

414

Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?

Jan 27, 2:35 AMOct 5, 11:59 PM

7.72%chance

7275

OptionVotes

YES

346

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

1168

856

When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US first be used by Trump?

Dec 19, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7155

OptionProbability

Never or 2029 and After

July-Dec 2027

Jan-June 2028

July-Dec 2028

Before July 2027

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Nov 6, 8:44 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

150

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Google props

Will German trains be on time again by 2030?

Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]

F1 World Drivers’ Champion 2026 (Add your answers)

UK Parliament redefines 'person' to include AI for admin by '27?

Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US first be used by Trump?

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

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