Overhaul News

Google props

Oct 23, 8:32 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

134686

OptionProbability

Gemini 3 released in November

Share value reaches $300 in 2025

Genie related product released to public before 2027

Google Search significant overhaul in 2025

Google Skills AI program launched in 2025

Imagen 5 released in 2026

Veo 4 released in 2025

100

Will Delcy Rodríguez still be President of Venezuela on May 4, 2026?

Jan 4, 7:38 PMMay 4, 11:59 PM

87.18%chance

274187

OptionVotes

YES

2289

653

Will German trains be on time again by 2030?

May 23, 2:10 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

34.6%chance

193141

OptionVotes

YES

1375

727

Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]

Mar 22, 1:13 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM

82213

OptionProbability

Head of the Internal Security Service (Ronen Bar) leaves position ahead of time

Further judicial overhaul legislation is passed

Israel is downgraded in another major democracy index

Another downgrading of Israel's credit rating by a major agency

General attorney (Gali Baharav Miara) leaves position ahead of time

Netanyahu is forced to step down as Prime Minister for any reason other then health or losing elections

No general elections on or before the planned date (Oct 27 2026)

100

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.31%chance

6268

OptionVotes

YES

1168

856

When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US first be used by Trump?

Dec 19, 5:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6150

OptionProbability

Never or 2029 and After

July-Dec 2027

Jan-June 2028

July-Dec 2028

Before July 2027

When will they overhaul manifest.is for 2026?

Jan 9, 11:28 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

4145

OptionProbability

Mar 2026

May 2026

Apr 2026

Other

Feb 2026

Jan 2026

Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?

Jan 27, 2:35 AMOct 5, 11:59 PM

25%chance

389

OptionVotes

YES

173

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

Nov 6, 8:44 PMDec 24, 11:59 PM

30.77%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

150

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Google props

Will Delcy Rodríguez still be President of Venezuela on May 4, 2026?

Will German trains be on time again by 2030?

Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

When will the jet plane gifted by Qatar to the US first be used by Trump?

When will they overhaul manifest.is for 2026?

Will the New York Mets finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than 2025 NL East Champion?

Process formally started to overhaul the Rescue Agreement [for astronauts] before midnight Christmas Eve 2028?

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