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Prediction markets for Oversight Board
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
OptionVotes
957
784
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
Will OpenAI implement any of the reform recommendations from The OpenAI Files by end of 2025?
Jun 19, 8:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.13%chance
333
OptionVotes
104
96