OptionProbability
Total Technological Paradigm Shift
Geoengineering
Renewables
Nuclear Energy
Other
Carbon Taxes / Cap and Trade
Human Extinction
Carbon Capture
New Energy Sources (e.g. Fusion Reactors)
Emissions Reductions
Consumption Reductions
International Coordination
Recycling
28
25
16
5
4
3
2
1
Biosphere integrity
Climate change
Biochemical flow
Novel entities
Land-system change
Freshwater change
Ocean acidification
Atmospheric aerosol loading
Stratospheric ozone depletion
76
66
63
57
50
34