OptionVotes
NO
YES
1508
1036
OptionProbability
2031
2030
2032
2029
2028
Not in this century
2026
2036
2037
2038
2027
2033
2034
2035
2039
2040
Later this century
Other
2025
13
12
7
6
5
4
3
2
Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB
Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)
Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment
Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes
Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01
Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01
66
52
51
45
38
37
34
76
61
93
54
80
62
