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Prediction markets for Paper Excellence
Prediction markets for Paper Excellence
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
Nov 8, 11:52 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
38.45%
chance
85
37707
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1265
790
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
Feb 7, 7:34 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.68%
chance
42
5677
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1208
828
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