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Top stories

Apple Weighs Mistral and Perplexity Deals in Bid to Boost AI

Apple Weighs Mistral and Perplexity Deals in Bid to Boost AI

Authors

35

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Paris

Will the United States Remain Actively Committed to the Paris Agreement by the End of 2025?

Dec 27, 9:29 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2.39%chance

216169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6884

207

Paris Mayoral Election

Nov 28, 5:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21625

OptionProbability

Rachida Dati

Emmanuel Grégoire

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

Sarah Knafo

Other

42

38

10

7

4

Will university fusion continue in Paris until only 1 huge one remain? (Before Nov. 2027)

Nov 6, 9:48 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM

6.62%chance

8895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

78

Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032

May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

9.28%chance

10402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

941

Will Paris be the hub of AI in Europe by the end of 2027?

Oct 27, 2:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.95%chance

14365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

151

Will Paris FC qualify for the 2026-2027 edition of the UEFA Champions League?

May 22, 12:59 AMJul 1, 12:58 AM

11.65%chance

5175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

36

Will "The Paris AI Anti-Safety Summit" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 13, 5:05 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

16.04%chance

368

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

87

Global warming will increase by at least 2.5° in 2050 and crushing the Paris Agreement.

Feb 20, 7:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.84%chance

634

OptionVotes

NO

YES

161

141

Which of these countries will ratify the Paris Agreement before 2030?

Jan 3, 9:17 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

226

OptionProbability

Libya

Yemen

Iran

43

43

37

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Paris and Bali exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 4:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

Paris gets a North-South TGV spine by 2050?

Dec 2, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Which architectural team will win the Louvre Museum expansion competition (Paris)?

Oct 10, 11:13 PMMar 31, 11:03 PM

11

OptionProbability

Amanda Levete Architects (AL_A)

Architecture Studio + Diller Scofidio Renfro

Dubuisson Architecture + SANAA

Sou Fujimoto Ateliers Paris + Sou Fujimoto Architects

STUDIOS Architecture + Selldorf Architects

No winner announced by March 31 2026

17

17

17

17

17

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