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Prediction markets for Parti socialiste

How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?

Oct 1, 12:03 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

37540

OptionProbability

More than 95

More than 100

More than 105

More than 110

More than 115

More than 120

More than 125

More than 130

More than 135

More than 140

99

67

54

42

39

18

3

1

1

1

Which political parties will be part of the next dutch governing coalition?

Jul 6, 2:50 PMAug 1, 2:40 PM

94067

OptionProbability

Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA)

People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD)

Democrats 66 (D66)

GroenLinks–PvdA

Christian Union (CU)

Volt Netherlands

JA21

Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB)

Party for the Animals (PvdD)

Reformed Political Party (SGP)

Socialist Party (SP)

Party for Freedom (PVV)

Denk

Forum for Democracy (FvD)

New Social Contract (NSC)

81

66

64

62

36

36

36

34

24

23

19

11

9

4

2

If Trump doesn't win, will America become a single-party socialist state?

Oct 6, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.22%chance

6981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

664

15

Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

96.29%chance

5685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

665

56

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

120

Who will run the Anglosphere at the end of June 2028?

Aug 18, 3:24 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

442

OptionProbability

International Democracy Union

Progressive Alliance

67

33

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1

Apr 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

05

OptionProbability

Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)

Other

Lou Calanche

Jesus Jesse Rosas

Elaine Alaniz

Sylvia Robledo

Raul Claros

20

17

16

15

13

11

7

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