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Prediction markets for Party Committee

Will Mike Waltz be confirmed as Ambassador to the United Nations?

May 6, 8:16 PMDec 31, 9:14 PM

86.04%chance

212273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2482

403

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

15.08%chance

171970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2373

421

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.82%chance

18779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

946

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.6%chance

11602

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1322

757

Will Hu Chunhua be added to the Chinese Communist Party Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Aug 21, 2:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.23%chance

2441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Will Elon Musk fund any democratic party member in 2025?

Jun 8, 4:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.08%chance

13348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 30th State Senate district

Jul 2, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2105

OptionProbability

Bob Archuleta (incumbent)

Other

81

19

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 12:26 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

57.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

85

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2040?

Aug 5, 6:07 PMNov 6, 6:54 PM

32%chance

892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

156

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

23

23

23

22

8

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?

Nov 2, 1:14 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.34%chance

442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

96

84

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 1:11 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

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