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Prediction markets for Party Committee

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.73%chance

16740693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24642

5236

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.02%chance

223595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2769

288

Who will finish top 2 in any state for the 2028 Democratic primary for President?

Dec 12, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

193152

OptionProbability

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Jon Ossoff

Mark Kelly

Ruben Gallego

Andy Beshear

Gretchen Whitmer

Wes Moore

Ro Khanna

JB Pritzker

Kamala Harris

Chris Van Hollen

Rahm Emanuel

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

Tim Walz

Josh Green

72

48

40

38

34

32

27

25

24

20

19

16

15

12

9

8

8

5

5

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

16.18%chance

172427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2276

439

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

937

Of these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?

May 17, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6401

OptionProbability

Ro khanna

Gavin newsom

Jb pritzker

Andy beshear

Pete buttigieg

Jon ossoff

Mark kelly

Rahm emanuel

AOC

Kamala harris

Josh shapiro

Jon stewart

James Talarico

54

38

38

37

31

24

24

21

16

16

16

16

9

Will Kamala announce a run in 2028

Apr 30, 7:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.49%chance

19256

OptionVotes

NO

YES

112

90

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

91%chance

8244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

282

38

If elected, will Abdul El-Sayed serve on the Senate Foreign Relations committee?

Oct 17, 2:42 AMNov 15, 11:59 PM

8.23%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1213

979

Will Massachusetts enact frontier AI safety legislation during the 194th General Court?

Oct 30, 12:01 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

71.56%chance

5152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

98

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

23

23

23

22

8

Will the Democratic party be banned before 2050

Oct 7, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

9.99%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

99

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