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Prediction markets for Party Committee

Which Labour MP(s) will mount a leadership challenge against Keir Starmer? [Add Answers]

Oct 27, 1:50 PMDec 28, 1:45 PM

52685

OptionProbability

Wes Streeting

Angela Rayner

Shabana Mahmood

Jess Phillips

Ed Milliband

25

12

10

8

8

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?

Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.25%chance

161507

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1592

1403

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

937

What will be Marjorie Taylor Greene's next declared political run?

Nov 22, 9:24 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10184

OptionProbability

None / Media Only

Georgia Governor

US President (I / 3rd Party)

US President (R)

Other

US Senate

56

19

10

6

5

4

Will new energy vehicles (BEV, PHEV, FCEV) make for more than 45% of new cars in 2027 in China?

Jan 21, 8:57 PMJan 28, 10:59 PM

89.25%chance

3150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219

52

Will another member of the Central Military Commission of the PRC be removed from their position before Spring 2028?

Nov 2, 12:48 PMApr 1, 3:59 PM

72.78%chance

491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

66

Will there be credible confirmation that PLAAF Commander Chang Dingqiu died in detention by 2026-06-30?

Dec 17, 9:38 AMJun 29, 11:59 PM

60.12%chance

462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

323

282

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

23

23

23

22

8

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2032?

Nov 2, 3:05 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

65.89%chance

325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

73

Will the CCP add more members to the Central Military Commission before 2027?

Jan 27, 8:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 1:11 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60

42

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