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Top stories

Chilean Politicians Clash Over Kast’s "Chao Préstamo" Pension Reform and La Araucanía Violence Ahead of 2025 Elections

Authors

3

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Party for Democracy

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

24.84%chance

783394684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6715

3343

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

Feb 13, 8:46 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

63.77%chance

8413130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2485

655

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Nov 5, 3:49 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

5.74%chance

355339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1377

943

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

20.91%chance

453627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

974

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

901

Will Donald Trump call another democratically elected leader of a country a dictator before the end of his current term?

Feb 28, 11:59 AMJan 31, 9:59 PM

76.93%chance

341219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

55

Will China become democratic before 2030?

Jan 3, 10:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.54%chance

13420

OptionVotes

YES

NO

378

26

Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?

Mar 24, 3:56 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

27.69%chance

15297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

178

Who will run the Anglosphere at the end of June 2028?

Aug 18, 3:24 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

442

OptionProbability

International Democracy Union

Progressive Alliance

67

33

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