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Pear News
Prediction markets for Pear
Prediction markets for Pear
LitneySpears (Permanent Stock)
May 21, 8:11 PM
May 21, 9:59 PM
12
1950
Option
Probability
YES
NO
251
188
Will Pearl's causality have important implications for fundamental physics?
Dec 1, 3:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13.18%
chance
25
838
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1357
910
Will Lauren Pearson (laurenap.com) win emergent ventures by EOY 2029?
Aug 25, 4:10 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
32.35%
chance
3
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
145
69
Will David Mumford (of Indra's Pearl) make it to age 93?
Feb 9, 3:57 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
30.77%
chance
1
25
Option
Votes
YES
NO
95
53
Facebook's default group avatar configuration becomes more representative, by mid 2026
Feb 18, 8:46 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
52.09%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
NO
YES
104
96
If you had to go on a date with Cabbage or Pear, which one would you pick?
Oct 1, 4:45 AM
7
0
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