OptionProbability
Covid
Russia-Ukraine War
Brexit
January 6th
Israel-Hamas War
US Withdrawal from Afghanistan
LLMs
George Floyd Protests
The Rise of China
Private Spaceflight
Bitcoin
Violent repression of women in Iran
New York v Trump 2024
Tigray War
BRICS Expansion
Meme stocks
Enshittification
97
94
88
86
82
77
75
63
61
57
54
51
40
21
13
OptionVotes
YES
NO
145
69
Mike SommerField
Other
Urs Kalecinski
Breon Ansley
Ramon Rocha Queiroz
Jose Manuel Munoz
Michael Daboul
Wesley Vissers
Niall Darwen
Keone Pearson
26
19
14
11
9
4
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