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Prediction markets for Pennsylvania Democrats

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.79%chance

207906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7404

135

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

May 16, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.89%chance

446446

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

765

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?

Mar 20, 6:48 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

2.47%chance

195236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3108

906

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

57.32%chance

492691

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4970

1769

Democrats win Maine, Pennsylvania and Minnesota Governor elections in 2026?

Aug 13, 1:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

95%chance

4980

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

2028 Pennsylvania Democratic Senate Nominee?

Jul 17, 3:24 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

4462

OptionProbability

Chris Deluzio

Summer Lee

Brendan Boyle

Conor Lamb

Other

Josh Shapiro

John Fetterman

25

22

16

11

11

8

7

Will Josh Shapiro be reelected

Jan 10, 1:07 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

97.19%chance

8373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

465

76

Will Democrats win Alaska, Pennsylvania and Minnesota Governor elections in 2026?

Sep 9, 1:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.04%chance

3260

OptionVotes

NO

YES

465

100

Will John Fetterman resign from the United States Senate?

Sep 5, 12:07 AMJan 3, 12:00 PM

29.28%chance

8231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

64

Who will win the 2028 Pennsylvania Democratic primary for the US Senate?

Sep 4, 10:10 AMApr 25, 11:59 PM

384

OptionProbability

Summer Lee

Chris deluzio

Other

John Fetterman

Bob Casey Jr.

Chuck Pennacchio

Josh Shapiro

Malcolm Kenyatta

Matt Cartwright

Chrissy Houlahan

Madeleine Dean

Ed Gainey

Rich Fitzgerald

29

14

14

8

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Will Democrats win all 7 ‘swing states’ in the 2028 presidential election?

Sep 7, 12:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

47.57%chance

479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

953

Will the 2028 Democratic Candidate for President win Pennsylvania?

Aug 25, 5:12 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

63.38%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

100

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