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Prediction markets for People magazine

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

34.41%chance

10318774

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1245

823

Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?

Mar 3, 1:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

427048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2773

1534

Prospera wins fight against Honduras

Sep 12, 2:17 PMMay 1, 8:59 PM

57.81%chance

404135

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

894

People’s Magazine 2026 Sexiest Man Alive?

May 26, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

141092

OptionProbability

Other

Bad Bunny

Clavicular

Timothee Chalamet

Travis Kelce

Hasan Piker

Leonardo DiCaprio

David Attenborough

George Clooney

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

64

15

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

1

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still together on December 31, 2028?

Oct 7, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.76%chance

19825

OptionVotes

NO

YES

316

32

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