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Personal Systems News

By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?

Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

7.67%chance

836529327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

69114

9469

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

32.05%chance

787397410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5423

3853

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM

6.5%chance

127235217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3804

910

Will an individual-directed ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027?

Apr 9, 9:49 AMApr 9, 9:48 AM

43.17%chance

223650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4443

3625

Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to Google's age verification system before 2027?

Jun 30, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.12%chance

9178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will there be a high-street retail outlet successfully running with only robotic and AI systems, for at least a week without intervention from a physically-present person, before 2027?

Jan 26, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

7161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

91

Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to Android's age verification system before 2027?

Apr 29, 2:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.43%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to YouTube's age verification system before 2027?

Apr 14, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.16%chance

5119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Will API keys, private passwords, or other personal information be systematically leaked by moltbook users?

Feb 2, 9:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.78%chance

5103

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to the age verification system of ANY OS before 3 July 2028?

May 26, 2:28 PMJul 2, 11:59 PM

62.62%chance

459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

Will there be a data leak of personal information sent to Roblox's age verification system before 2027?

Apr 10, 3:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.41%chance

351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

148

68

AI to help design validation systems based on personal blockchains by 2050

Jun 8, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.23%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

33

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