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Prediction markets for Peter Thiel

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Jul 30, 1:59 AMAug 6, 3:59 AM

5.6%chance

618670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

907

Will Peter thiel be charged with a felony by 2026.

Nov 28, 8:12 PMJan 1, 8:12 PM

5.02%chance

251493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2157

845

Will Peter Thiel ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3.76%chance

181268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

899

Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.18%chance

22992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

927

Will Peter Thiel reference Manifold Markets by 2030?

Sep 15, 4:49 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

44.41%chance

15837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

884

Will an AI-powered tool produce a convincing gay pornography video of Elon Musk having sex with Peter Thiel by 2025?

Jan 1, 7:43 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

34.79%chance

15774

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1057

855

Will AI finally generate an acceptable image of "Peter Thiel making out with, cuddling with, and incubating an egg together with a gay penguin" by 2025?

Jan 5, 4:48 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

84.79%chance

13267

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1181

938

Will Peter Thiel have regular bodyguards by EOY2032?

Sep 21, 6:57 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

86.87%chance

3160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

39

Will Peter Thiel be diagnosed with plasticosis by EOY2039?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMSep 29, 3:59 AM

20.37%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

51

Will someone finally pester Peter Thiel on his position on microplastics in any conference (or in public) by 2026?

Jan 7, 7:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.98%chance

666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

101

Will Elon Musk die before Peter Thiel?

Apr 20, 10:40 PMApr 28, 6:59 AM

58.2%chance

964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

217

172

Will Peter Thiel's Horvath DNAm age be higher than his chronological age?

Jan 1, 7:49 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

17.8%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

82

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