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Prediction markets for Peter Thiel

Will Peter Thiel ever be a candidate for President of the United States?

Jul 30, 1:59 AMAug 6, 3:59 AM

5.92%chance

638674

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

911

Will Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)

Sep 12, 7:30 PMSep 19, 10:59 PM

1.22%chance

61548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

899

11

Will Peter Thiel ever be elected President?

Jan 13, 8:18 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

3.76%chance

181268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

899

Will Peter Thiel be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 5:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.18%chance

22992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

927

Will Peter Thiel reference Manifold Markets by 2030?

Sep 15, 4:49 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

38.27%chance

16987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1265

779

Will Donald Trump nominate Peter Thiel to serve on the Supreme Court of the United States during Trump II?

Feb 16, 10:39 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

4.86%chance

14702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

442

23

Will Peter Thiel name >=1 kid Sigil Thiel, "Lada Thiel", "Jose Thiel", "Gwern Thiel", "Rochelle Thiel",or "Laria Thiel"?

Dec 19, 6:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

31.07%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will Peter Thiel's Horvath DNAm age be higher than his chronological age?

Jan 1, 7:49 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

17.8%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

82

Will Peter Thiel meet janus/repligate by EOY2029?

Apr 29, 10:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.77%chance

350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?

Jan 7, 4:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.89%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

177

104

Will Peter Thiel's "break" with Chuck Johnson actually be permanent? [will they talk again before 2050]

Nov 10, 6:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Is there a Markov boundary between Chuck Johnson and Peter thiel by EOY 2028?

Jan 23, 2:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

50

50

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