PF News

Opposition Gains INSS Inquiry Control Amid Bolsonaro Family Probed Over Judiciary Coercion and US Tariff Dispute

9 months ago

Bolsonaro’s Defense to Supreme Federal Court Denies Flight Risk, Cites Draft Asylum Amid Argentina Bribery Probe Involving Milei’s Sister

9 months ago

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

113876

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

365+ days

180+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

100

Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?

Oct 20, 7:33 PMOct 21, 3:59 AM

31.23%chance

142358

OptionVotes

YES

1627

398

In 2030 will long-lasting side effects in over 30% of the US be linked to the Moderna AND Pfizer COVID vaccinations?

Feb 17, 12:53 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM

2.55%chance

111735

OptionVotes

YES

1503

938

Conditional on adopting this pfp, will @zagrebbi reach 25k Twitter followers by April 10, 2028?

Apr 11, 4:29 AMApr 11, 12:00 AM

13897

OptionProbability

Front-facing portrait, plaid shirt

Side profile, plaid shirt

Outdoor sweater photo

Timothee Chalamet pool scene, CMBYN

Jini Jane from Kiirac

Curtis Yarvin hand, painting gifted by Thiel

Mensch, large-eyed child painting

Young Robin Hanson

Young Robin Hanson FaceApped as a woman

Munch self-portrait

Toni Hanna album cover

Side profile, plaid shirt, closed mouth

Current pfp, white shirt

Will Albert Bourla (CEO of Pfizer) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 8, 11:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.18%chance

10283

OptionVotes

YES

402

103

In what year will Europe vote to ban PFAs ("forever chemicals")?

Aug 2, 7:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6204

OptionProbability

2023-2025

2026-2028

2032-2040

2029-2031

No ban before 2041

Will the percentage of wikipedia users who donate at least one time reach 4% in the next 3 years (2026)?

Nov 8, 1:38 AMSep 2, 6:59 AM

31.42%chance

5138

OptionVotes

YES

163

Will I regret purchasing the golden glow around my pfp?

Jan 24, 9:35 PMDec 31, 9:29 PM

39.69%chance

868

OptionVotes

YES

123

Latest stories

Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
Argentina
Brazil
Politics
Bolsonaro’s Defense to Supreme Federal Court Denies Flight Risk, Cites Draft Asylum Amid Argentina Bribery Probe Involving Milei’s Sister
Authors
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9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Brazil
Tariffs
Politics
Opposition Gains INSS Inquiry Control Amid Bolsonaro Family Probed Over Judiciary Coercion and US Tariff Dispute
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6
9 months ago

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How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Will Jacob Pfau think that the Eliciting Latent Knowledge research program has achieved something important by October 20, 2026?

In 2030 will long-lasting side effects in over 30% of the US be linked to the Moderna AND Pfizer COVID vaccinations?

Conditional on adopting this pfp, will @zagrebbi reach 25k Twitter followers by April 10, 2028?

Will Albert Bourla (CEO of Pfizer) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

In what year will Europe vote to ban PFAs ("forever chemicals")?

Will the percentage of wikipedia users who donate at least one time reach 4% in the next 3 years (2026)?

Will I regret purchasing the golden glow around my pfp?

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