OptionProbability
The Last Unicorn by Peter Beagle
Alcatraz versus the Evil Librarians by Brandon Sanderson
The Amulet of Samarkand by Jonathan Stroud
The Mysterious Benedict Society by Trenton Stewart
The Rithmatist by Brandon Sanderson
Sabriel by Garth Nix
The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes by Arthur Conan Doyle
Mistborn by Brandon Sanderson
The Phantom Tollbooth by Norton Juster
Ender's Game by Orson Scott Card
Holes by Louis Sachar
Animorphs (series) by K. A. Applegate
The Witches by Roald Dahl
Small Gods by Terry Pratchett
Watership Down by Richard Adams
Jurassic Park by Michael Crichton
Have Spacesuit Will Travel by Robert Heinlein
Magician: Apprentice by Raymond E. Feist
Airborne by Kenneth Oppel
The Dark Lord of Derkholm by Diana Wynn Jones
Something Wicked This Way Comes by Ray Bradbury
The Scarlet Pimpernel by Baroness Orczy
Call of the Wild by Jack London
Eagle of the Ninth by Rosemary Sutcliffe
Mr Midshipman Hornblower by C S Forester
Mythology by Edith Hamilton
A Magical Girl Retires by Park Seolyeon
The Paper Menagerie and Other Stories by Ken Liu
Tales of the Unexpected by Roald Dahl
Howl’s Moving Castle by Diana Wynn Jones
Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir
Harry Potter and the methods of rationality by Eliezer Yudkowsky
Andromeda Strain by Michael Chriton
On Basilisk Station (Honor Harrington #1) by David Weber
The Martian by Andy Weir
The Culture series by Iain M Banks
A Wizard of Earthsea by Ursula LeGuin
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
82
82
81
76
72
65
64
61
59
59
59
55
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
45
43
36
31
29
29
0
OptionProbability
The Democrat party has directly asked mainstream media to promote or repress a news story, and they followed (Only counting incidents in or after 2015)
TikTok is controlled by the Chinese government
Someone working for a US intelligence agency was a regular user of Manifold before this option was made
The culture war has been intentionally amplified by the wealthy to distract from class conflict
The US has spies working in the North Korean government
"The Agency" on Manifold was known to the whole Manifold staff team before it started
The idea of aliens is used by the US to distract people from secret military projects
The Republican party has been making the illegal immigrant problem worse during 2020-2024 to blame it on Joe Biden during election season
The Premier League delayed punishing Manchester City for breaking FFP regulations to protect its own self-interests
The Chinese government planned their Wuhan lockdowns to protect their own country from Covid-19 but spread it to other countries
The UK did Nordstream
John Barnett (Boeing whistleblower) was assassinated
Mattress Firm is a money laundering front
The earth and/or universe was created by a God, deity, supernatural being, or some other sentient/conscious entity in the beginning
Creationism (second try): The earth and/or universe was INTENTIONALLY created and designed by an INDIVIDUAL god or deity at the VERY BEGINNING of its existence
The US created Covid-19 in a lab in China
The CIA systematically edits Wikipedia articles to present the US in a better light
Putin was threatened by a member of his cabinet to invade Ukraine
COVID-19 vaccines permanently change one's DNA or genome
Creationism (third try): Genesis 1 prima facie is an accurate description of the earth and/or universe's origins
Vladimir Putin died in 2014 and was secretly replaced by a body double
In the Tucker & Carlson interview, the dubbed voice of Putin in english is not actually saying what Putin is saying, but instead something completely different
The 2024 Donald Trump assassination attempt was a hoax or setup
COVID-19 vaccine is fatal or lethal in the long term
There is a firmament, dome, or ceiling above the earth
Phantom Time Hypothesis: A substantial portion of the Middle Ages was made up and never happened
Viruses/viral particles don't actually exist
A group of giant people known as the Nephilim once inhabited the earth and cut down the colossal trees, leaving stumps that the general public understands as geological formations like Devils Tower in Wyoming and Giant’s Causeway in Ireland
Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 election so that former first lady Michelle Obama could take his place as the Democratic Party's nominee.
81
64
59
57
52
52
51
51
50
45
41
37
35
34
34
24
22
18
10
9
8
8
7
5
4
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
NO
YES
236
126
