Pharmaceuticals News

Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

Jun 4, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2027987

OptionProbability

Other

The Short, Swift Time of Gods on Earth

The Book of Abraham

Siddhartha (1922) by Herman Hesse

The Lever of Riches

Orality and Literacy by Walter Ong

We Present Television

The Sovereign Child

Capitalist Realism

The Tale of Genji

planecrash – E.S. Yudwkosky

The Life-Changing Magic of Tidying Up

The Cambridge Introduction to Jacques Lacan

Breakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action

World War Z

Lee Kuan Yew’s Memoirs

The Affluent Society by John Kenneth Galbraith

Invisible Cities / Life: A User's Manual

Thomas Urquhart's Translation of Rabelais

We've Had a Hundred Years of Psychotherapy and the World's Getting Worse

Leviathan

How to Prevent Coups d’État

Stabilizing an Unstable Economy

The Invention of Science: A New History of the Scientific Revolution

The Rule of Law

Timefulness

The Knowledge Machine

The Inhabited Island

The Ghost In My Brain

A Secular Age

Scenebux: A Novel

Pharmaceutical Freedom: Why Patients Have a Right to Self-Medicate

Bellum Catilinae -- The Catiline Conspiracy

Coriolanus

Fear and Trembling

1984 by George Orwell

Mother of Learning

"Mistletoe and Memorandums" by Claude

The Northern Caves

Dictator Book Club: Yoweri Museveni’s Sowing The Mustard Seed

The End of History and the Last Man

The Bible

The Last Temptation of Christ

Aesopian Language in Russian Literature

More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite, by Sebastian Mallaby

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:29 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

82%chance

264029

OptionVotes

YES

2135

468

Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?

Sep 29, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.21%chance

103589

OptionVotes

YES

3587

279

Which biotech scaleup will have the largest market cap in 2030?

Mar 8, 6:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11599

OptionProbability

Twist Bioscience

Recursion Pharmaceuticals

10x genomics

Ginkgo Bioworks

Will there be an FDA Approved treatment for Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome by 2030.

Jun 28, 8:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

28.67%chance

5386

OptionVotes

YES

511

480

Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?

Sep 11, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.35%chance

5365

OptionVotes

YES

1241

805

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM

63.2%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

989

Will the drug PP405 get FDA approval?

Aug 17, 5:09 PMJan 1, 6:07 PM

59.68%chance

4235

OptionVotes

YES

1217

822

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.4%chance

6216

OptionVotes

YES

1049

953

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6146

OptionProbability

India

Brazil

Denmark

Italy

Spain

Canada

US adopts pharmaceutical reciprocity with the UK, some/all of the EU, Japan, or Australia before 2035

Mar 16, 4:22 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

11.61%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

258

S. 2068, the End Prescription Drug Ads Now Act, becomes law?

Jun 13, 4:07 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM

28.34%chance

659

OptionVotes

YES

164

Pharmaceuticals News

Prediction markets for Pharmaceuticals

Prediction markets for Pharmaceuticals

Prediction markets for Pharmaceuticals

Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?

Which biotech scaleup will have the largest market cap in 2030?

Will there be an FDA Approved treatment for Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome by 2030.

Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Will the drug PP405 get FDA approval?

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

US adopts pharmaceutical reciprocity with the UK, some/all of the EU, Japan, or Australia before 2035

S. 2068, the End Prescription Drug Ads Now Act, becomes law?

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