Pharmaceuticals News

Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

Jun 4, 5:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2751727

OptionProbability

Breakdown in Pakistan: How Aid Is Eroding Institutions for Collective Action

Orality and Literacy by Walter Ong

The Book of Abraham

The Escape Artist

The Tale of Genji

We Present Television

The History And Adventures Of An Atom

Lee Kuan Yew’s Memoirs

Great And Desperate Cures

Thomas Urquhart’s Translation Of Rabelais

Storm Of Steel

The Ghost In My Brain

The Epic Of Gilgamesh

A Residence Of 21 Years In The Sandwich Islands

Thomas Urquhart's Translation of Rabelais

Stabilizing an Unstable Economy

The Last Temptation of Christ

The Invention of Science: A New History of the Scientific Revolution

The Rule of Law

Timefulness

The Life-Changing Magic of Tidying Up

The Cambridge Introduction to Jacques Lacan

The Knowledge Machine

The Inhabited Island

A Secular Age

Pharmaceutical Freedom: Why Patients Have a Right to Self-Medicate

Aesopian Language in Russian Literature

Bellum Catilinae -- The Catiline Conspiracy

This Is Going To Hurt

Other

Coriolanus

Fear and Trembling

1984 by George Orwell

Mother of Learning

"Mistletoe and Memorandums" by Claude

The Northern Caves

planecrash – E.S. Yudwkosky

World War Z

The Sovereign Child

Siddhartha (1922) by Herman Hesse

The Lever of Riches

Dictator Book Club: Yoweri Museveni’s Sowing The Mustard Seed

The End of History and the Last Man

The Affluent Society by John Kenneth Galbraith

The Bible

Invisible Cities / Life: A User's Manual

We've Had a Hundred Years of Psychotherapy and the World's Getting Worse

Capitalist Realism

Leviathan

How to Prevent Coups d’État

The Short, Swift Time of Gods on Earth

Scenebux: A Novel

More Money Than God: Hedge Funds and the Making of a New Elite, by Sebastian Mallaby

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:29 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

84.61%chance

284339

OptionVotes

YES

2345

426

Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?

Sep 29, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.43%chance

114176

OptionVotes

YES

4174

240

Will the drug PP405 get FDA approval?

Aug 17, 5:09 PMJan 1, 6:07 PM

26.82%chance

81097

OptionVotes

YES

1652

605

Which biotech scaleup will have the largest market cap in 2030?

Mar 8, 6:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

11599

OptionProbability

Twist Bioscience

Recursion Pharmaceuticals

10x genomics

Ginkgo Bioworks

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM

66.67%chance

14463

OptionVotes

YES

1089

935

Will there be an FDA Approved treatment for Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome by 2030.

Jun 28, 8:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

28.67%chance

5386

OptionVotes

YES

511

480

Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?

Sep 11, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.35%chance

5365

OptionVotes

YES

1241

805

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.01%chance

9361

OptionVotes

YES

1083

923

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

Mar 1, 3:50 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

6146

OptionProbability

India

Brazil

Denmark

Italy

Spain

Canada

US adopts pharmaceutical reciprocity with the UK, some/all of the EU, Japan, or Australia before 2035

Mar 16, 4:22 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

11.61%chance

6143

OptionVotes

YES

258

Pharmaceuticals News

Prediction markets for Pharmaceuticals

Prediction markets for Pharmaceuticals

Prediction markets for Pharmaceuticals

Who will win the Scott Alexander 2026 Book Review Contest?

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Pharmaceutical TV ads banned in US by end of 2026?

Will the drug PP405 get FDA approval?

Which biotech scaleup will have the largest market cap in 2030?

Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?

Will there be an FDA Approved treatment for Myalgic Encephalomyelitis/Chronic Fatigue Syndrome by 2030.

Will Brazil grant marketing approval to polylaminin before 2028?

Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Which country will enter the top 5 worldwide pharmaceutical markets by 2030?

US adopts pharmaceutical reciprocity with the UK, some/all of the EU, Japan, or Australia before 2035

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