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Prediction markets for Pillar

Nguyen Ma Stock

Apr 11, 9:42 AM

83550

OptionProbability

NO

YES

742

384

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Jan 1, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

221119

OptionProbability

The Way of Kings by Brandon Sanderson

Merchant Magician by John Champaign

The Road by Cormac McCarthy

(The books you will rate 5 stars)

The Player of Games by Iain M. Banks

Crime and Punishment

Catch-22 by Joseph Heller

Lord of Light by Roger Zelazny

Exhalation by Ted Chiang

Hyperion by Dan Simmons

War with the Newts

Small Things Like These by Claire Keegan

Great Gatsby

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky

Existential Kink by Carolyn Elliott

99

85

75

66

65

64

64

61

57

56

50

50

43

41

19

Will Fukuyama's "End of History" thesis still be plausible by 2035?

Oct 2, 1:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.83%chance

10525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

780

To Lam to become the next president of Vietnam, in addition to being General Secretary

Jan 25, 7:37 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

92.06%chance

3261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

29

Will Democrats (2028 Election) pivot to pro-growth Abundance Policies (Ezra Klein + Derek Thompson) 🇺🇸🦾🤑🦅🏗️🏛️

Mar 6, 3:41 AMNov 30, 12:59 PM

47.29%chance

9169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

106

95

What will the next Pope's stance on the Latin Mass be?

Dec 18, 10:57 PMDec 25, 7:59 AM

5145

OptionProbability

Ambiguous

Permissive

Discourage/disallow

77

17

6

¿Habra mocion de censura al presidente Sanchez en España antes de Agosto del 26?

Jan 13, 9:58 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

25.91%chance

5114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

DGG/Destiny Orbiter Empire Stability Stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 4:12 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

552

OptionProbability

NO

YES

163

137

Will UK Trade Minister Chris Bryant or his replacement visit Taiwan before 2028?

Jan 3, 3:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Press Release Distribution Services Driving Visibility Across Media IMCWire

Jan 31, 12:28 PMFeb 7, 12:28 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Make a Twilight market!

Apr 13, 1:01 AM

00

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