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Prediction markets for PINS

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.86%chance

754369

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1543

564

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest by the end of 2026?

Jan 2, 6:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.15%chance

233733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3357

298

What will be the most popular way to interact with a portable digital devices in 2030?

Jan 23, 1:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

492802

OptionProbability

Touch-screen smartphones

AR/VR glasses

Other technology that WAS already commercialized in 2024

Other technology that was NOT commercialized in 2024

Rabbit-style voice agents

Humane-style pins

Brain computer interfaces

69

22

3

3

1

1

1

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.71%chance

112191

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1183

892

[OpenAI Startup Fund] Which ideas will OpenAI invest in as part of Converge Two?

Dec 16, 11:47 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

281323

OptionProbability

AI Infrastructure Hardware (GPUs, TPUs, etc.)

SOTA Text-To-Speech

AI Powered Consumer Device (pins, glasses, speakers, etc.)

AI Language Coach (like Speek)

Non-English SOTA LLM

Legal AI (like Harvey)

AI Speech Coach

AI-Powered Kids Toy

94

81

78

66

54

36

33

10

Who will own the pinky of @draaglom at EOY 2026?

May 11, 1:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8627

OptionProbability

Other

@eternal

@MachiNi

[🤙] @vi

@jim

[🤞] @Jack1

No one [probably not, but see below]

56

16

8

8

6

5

1

Will the Pirates of the Caribbean pinball machine from Jersey Jack pinball be remade before 2034?

Jan 17, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.5%chance

3262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1094

914

Will Joji (Filthy Frank, Pink Guy) perform publicly wearing the pink bodysuit again before Jan 1st 2030?

Dec 6, 2:54 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.84%chance

12250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

950

When will MKBHD review a product worse than Humane AI pin?

May 1, 8:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6160

OptionProbability

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2025

Before 2026

73

68

66

0

0

Willl pine martens return to Pennsylvania by 2028?

Jan 29, 2:07 AMDec 5, 4:59 AM

37.87%chance

419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

98

Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2027?

Apr 6, 6:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

77.65%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

80

Would allowing users to "pin" chats in the Message tab help users manage P2P loans among other arrangements?

Apr 23, 4:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

90

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