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Prediction markets for Planet

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.56%chance

88132423

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2680

916

Does Planet Nine exist?

Mar 7, 3:55 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

25.74%chance

11914425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1753

489

Will planet k2-18b be confirmed to contain a major sign of Alien Life: DMS (dimethyl sulphide)

Sep 13, 12:30 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

7.68%chance

5010228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2764

703

Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?

Oct 15, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29%chance

493876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1584

568

Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2030?

Feb 24, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.26%chance

422799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

850

Will Elon Musk be the richest person on the planet when he passes away?

Mar 24, 11:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.52%chance

401770

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2203

1315

Is the natural frequency of abiogenesis at least 1/1 trillion planets per billion years?

Oct 3, 1:33 AMJan 2, 2:29 AM

77.1%chance

8935

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1835

545

Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2040?

Oct 3, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.16%chance

18475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

853

Will we discover a new planet capable of supporting human life by 2035?

Jan 11, 12:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.86%chance

14445

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

849

Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?

Dec 18, 3:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.96%chance

17440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

944

Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?

Jan 30, 10:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

68.32%chance

15339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1000

956

Will a human set foot on the dwarf planet Ceres before 2060?

Jan 17, 3:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.3%chance

12256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

983

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