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Prediction markets for Planet

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.82%chance

85131473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2810

881

Does Planet Nine exist?

Mar 7, 3:55 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.4%chance

11914105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1324

693

Will humans land on a planet, dwarf planet, or moon large enough to be spheroid in shape OTHER than the Moon or Mars by the end of 2050?

Oct 15, 11:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29%chance

493876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1584

568

Will Elon Musk be the richest person on the planet when he passes away?

Mar 24, 11:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.35%chance

351536

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2030

1708

What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?

Nov 2, 8:34 AMJun 15, 10:59 PM

73.46%chance

271001

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

968

Who will Win a War if Aliens attack planet Earth?

Oct 6, 8:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.33%chance

11932

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

985

Is the natural frequency of abiogenesis at least 1/1 trillion planets per billion years?

Oct 3, 1:33 AMJan 2, 2:29 AM

77%chance

7930

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1830

547

Will we discover a new planet capable of supporting human life by 2035?

Jan 11, 12:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.55%chance

14441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

858

Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?

Dec 18, 3:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.96%chance

17440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

944

Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2040?

Oct 3, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.48%chance

17411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

937

Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?

Jan 30, 10:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.37%chance

14324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

985

Will a human set foot on the dwarf planet Ceres before 2060?

Jan 17, 3:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.3%chance

12256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

983

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