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Prediction markets for Planet

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.71%chance

85130764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2919

859

Does Planet Nine exist?

Mar 7, 3:55 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39.4%chance

11914105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1324

693

What percentage of potentially-life-supporting planets develop life at some point?

Nov 2, 8:37 AMJun 15, 10:59 PM

19.8%chance

412132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1318

863

Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2030?

Feb 24, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.93%chance

351157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1446

758

Will Elon Musk be the richest person on the planet when he passes away?

Mar 24, 11:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.27%chance

291006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2076

1586

What percentage of Milky Way stars have >0 planets?

Nov 2, 8:34 AMJun 15, 10:59 PM

73.7%chance

27992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

992

977

Who will Win a War if Aliens attack planet Earth?

Oct 6, 8:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.33%chance

11932

OptionVotes

NO

YES

993

985

Will we discover a new planet capable of supporting human life by 2035?

Jan 11, 12:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.55%chance

14441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

858

Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?

Dec 18, 3:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.96%chance

17440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

944

Will Planet 9's existence be verified by 2040?

Oct 3, 2:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.81%chance

16361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

964

Will a rover successfully rove on any planet other than Earth or Mars by the beginning of 2040?

Jan 30, 10:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

69.37%chance

14324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

985

Will a human set foot on the dwarf planet Ceres before 2060?

Jan 17, 3:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.3%chance

12256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

983

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