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Prediction markets for Planning Department
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
59.06%chance
9213274
OptionVotes
1201
833
Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?
Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
35.06%chance
224861
OptionVotes
1361
735
Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
29.77%chance
363321
OptionVotes
1536
651
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.2%chance
323242
OptionVotes
3345
299
OptionVotes
1126
888
Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?
Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.97%chance
212082
OptionVotes
1529
654
OptionVotes
2532
395
OptionVotes
2360
424
OptionVotes
1139
910
OptionVotes
1031
884
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?
May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM
41.68%chance
2212
OptionVotes
1183
845