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Top stories

San Francisco Moves to End Fines for Parking in Private Driveways

US Domestic Policy

San Francisco Moves to End Fines for Parking in Private Driveways

Authors

3

7 days ago

Prediction markets for Planning Department

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026?

Mar 29, 2:11 AMDec 1, 5:00 PM

3.68%chance

274982

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2614

691

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

11.77%chance

194414

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2738

365

Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?

Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

23.53%chance

353216

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1803

555

NYC housing units built in 2025?

Jun 29, 2:05 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

5840

Trump deport people in 2025?

Apr 18, 1:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8650

If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?

Mar 10, 5:05 PMNov 3, 7:59 AM

50.84%chance

20569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1152

803

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025?

Jun 29, 2:11 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

65.49%chance

10532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1378

726

Will Columbia University be a going concern on January 20th, 2029?

Apr 13, 2:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

88.89%chance

8431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

283

35

Will the U.S. close at least 10 embassies in Africa before October 16, 2025?

Apr 21, 8:12 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

5.13%chance

8360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

430

23

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.73%chance

5168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

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