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Top stories

San Francisco Moves to End Fines for Parking in Private Driveways

US Domestic Policy

San Francisco Moves to End Fines for Parking in Private Driveways

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Planning Department

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

876

Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?

Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

15.56%chance

414690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2329

429

China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026

Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.11%chance

333262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3365

297

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025?

Jun 29, 2:11 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

32.97%chance

202788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1426

701

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.97%chance

212082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

654

Trump meets Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Aug 20, 4:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

22.12%chance

261868

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

533

US Patent System gets a price hike by 2026?

Aug 7, 9:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.5%chance

71644

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2532

395

Will Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?

Apr 24, 1:26 AMJan 1, 2:24 AM

15.22%chance

111601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2360

424

If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?

Mar 10, 5:05 PMNov 3, 7:59 AM

65.66%chance

281179

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

900

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.21%chance

14835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

943

Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?

May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM

44.49%chance

3262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

895

Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?

Aug 4, 11:03 PMOct 3, 11:59 PM

27.08%chance

591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

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