PLUR News

Will "⿻ Plurality & 6pack.care" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 2, 7:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

74467

OptionVotes

YES

2641

854

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

Dec 15, 5:16 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

13.68%chance

703957

OptionVotes

YES

1799

843

Pluribus season 2 props

Dec 24, 10:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

273207

OptionProbability

First episode drops before 2028

A Faraday cage is mentioned or shown as a way to block hivemind communication

An assimilated disconnect from the hivemind for a minute or more (not including seizures)

At least two more people join the hivemind

An assimilated disconnect from the hivemind for a day or more

Carol causes a seizure

The dog or the goat reappears

Abdul (the muezzin) is shown leading a call to prayer

Any non-assimilated dies

AI will be so embedded in viewers' lives that the "pre-joining" scenes will feel dated

Koumba’s sperm is used to assimilate him (like Carol’s eggs)

Explicit mention of Los Alamos, Manhattan Project or Oppenheimer

Bryan Cranston appears in any episode

We see Rhea Seehorn‘s butt

Carol explicitly threatens the hivemind with atom bomb

Zosia dies

Carol, Zosia, Koumba, Manousos, Helen or Laxmi is recasted

A character from the BB/BCS universe appears

Manousos’ infection gets worse

An atom bomb detonates

Which quarterback will start a plurality of games for the Atlanta Falcons in the 2026 NFL season?

Apr 29, 6:14 AMJan 30, 3:59 PM

211953

OptionProbability

Tua Tagovailoa

Michael Penix Jr.

Other

Kirk Cousins

What instruction set architecture will have the plurality of desktop CPU sales in 2034?

Nov 14, 2:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21761

OptionProbability

X86

ARM

RISC-V

Other

In Pluribus, will Carol nuke 'em?

Jan 4, 10:21 AMApr 20, 11:20 AM

15.49%chance

19638

OptionVotes

YES

234

If/when the octopus species is uplifted, what plural noun will they prefer for themselves?

Dec 8, 10:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15348

OptionProbability

Other

Octopuses

Octopodes

Octopi

Octopus

In the first Russian Duma election where United Russia does not win a plurality of seats, which party will?

Jul 23, 1:00 PMNov 30, 8:59 PM

5319

OptionProbability

Communist Party (CPRF)

Other

New People

Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR)

A Just Russia

Yabloko

Civic Initiative

Dawn (Rassvet)

Libertarian Party

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Dec 18, 11:47 PMDec 26, 7:59 AM

9297

OptionProbability

State Administration Council or successor military junta

National Unity Government in exile (Aung San Suu Kyi)

A majority nondemocrtic coalition of ethnic armed groups

Other

A majority democratic coalition of ethnic armed groups

China

Will there be a U.S. congressperson who openly identifies as plural by 2050?

Jul 11, 6:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.75%chance

7185

OptionVotes

YES

250

What is the plural of fursona?

Apr 14, 6:28 AM

700

What do you use as an informal plural of "you"?

Nov 19, 11:39 PM

460

PLUR News

Prediction markets for PLUR

Prediction markets for PLUR

Prediction markets for PLUR

Will "⿻ Plurality & 6pack.care" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

Pluribus season 2 props

Which quarterback will start a plurality of games for the Atlanta Falcons in the 2026 NFL season?

What instruction set architecture will have the plurality of desktop CPU sales in 2034?

In Pluribus, will Carol nuke 'em?

If/when the octopus species is uplifted, what plural noun will they prefer for themselves?

In the first Russian Duma election where United Russia does not win a plurality of seats, which party will?

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Will there be a U.S. congressperson who openly identifies as plural by 2050?

What is the plural of fursona?

What do you use as an informal plural of "you"?

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