Plural News

Will "⿻ Plurality & 6pack.care" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 2, 7:35 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5%chance

74467

OptionVotes

YES

2641

854

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

Dec 15, 5:16 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

13.68%chance

703957

OptionVotes

YES

1799

843

Which quarterback will start a plurality of games for the Atlanta Falcons in the 2026 NFL season?

Apr 29, 6:14 AMJan 30, 3:59 PM

211953

OptionProbability

Tua Tagovailoa

Michael Penix Jr.

Other

Kirk Cousins

Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.41%chance

11987

OptionVotes

YES

2286

1778

What instruction set architecture will have the plurality of desktop CPU sales in 2034?

Nov 14, 2:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

21761

OptionProbability

X86

ARM

RISC-V

Other

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

Jan 19, 3:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.5%chance

3356

OptionVotes

YES

10232

9936

If/when the octopus species is uplifted, what plural noun will they prefer for themselves?

Dec 8, 10:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

15348

OptionProbability

Other

Octopuses

Octopodes

Octopi

Octopus

In the first Russian Duma election where United Russia does not win a plurality of seats, which party will?

Jul 23, 1:00 PMNov 30, 8:59 PM

5319

OptionProbability

Communist Party (CPRF)

Other

New People

Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR)

A Just Russia

Yabloko

Civic Initiative

Dawn (Rassvet)

Libertarian Party

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Dec 18, 11:47 PMDec 26, 7:59 AM

9297

OptionProbability

State Administration Council or successor military junta

National Unity Government in exile (Aung San Suu Kyi)

A majority nondemocrtic coalition of ethnic armed groups

Other

A majority democratic coalition of ethnic armed groups

China

Will there be a U.S. congressperson who openly identifies as plural by 2050?

Jul 11, 6:57 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.75%chance

7185

OptionVotes

YES

250

What do you use as an informal plural of "you"?

Nov 19, 11:39 PM

460

What is the plural of fursona?

Apr 14, 6:28 AM

700

Plural News

Prediction markets for Plural

Prediction markets for Plural

Prediction markets for Plural

Will "⿻ Plurality & 6pack.care" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Before the end of 2035, will plurality become as common in the US as transgenderness was in 2022?

Which quarterback will start a plurality of games for the Atlanta Falcons in the 2026 NFL season?

Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?

What instruction set architecture will have the plurality of desktop CPU sales in 2034?

What percentage of votes will the Partito Democratico win in the upcoming general election in Italy?

If/when the octopus species is uplifted, what plural noun will they prefer for themselves?

In the first Russian Duma election where United Russia does not win a plurality of seats, which party will?

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Will there be a U.S. congressperson who openly identifies as plural by 2050?

What do you use as an informal plural of "you"?

What is the plural of fursona?

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