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Prediction markets for Plus Me Limited
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.39%chance
86134411
OptionVotes
108928
17670
Will a radio station play any AI music I create in 2025?
Jan 10, 6:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
22.81%chance
5623332
OptionVotes
1840
544
Will any AI music I release achieve a Manifold rating >= 5 in 2025?
Jan 1, 9:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
77.85%chance
2120578
OptionVotes
1875
533
Will any AI music I release achieve 10,000 listens on Soundcloud in 2025?
Jan 9, 12:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.27%chance
6716207
OptionVotes
1193
838
OptionProbability
89
83
68
63
51
50
50
22
0
Could I buy a legit 8TB (8To) microSD card on amazon before 2026 ?
Dec 13, 2:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13.21%chance
452803
OptionVotes
2387
516
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2030?
Jun 2, 5:05 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
51.74%chance
161655
OptionVotes
1035
966
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2035?
May 17, 1:38 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
63.73%chance
9665
OptionVotes
1326
754
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2031?
May 21, 10:16 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
52.9%chance
7592
OptionVotes
1060
944
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2032?
May 20, 5:26 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
49.93%chance
9570
OptionVotes
1001
999
Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027
Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM
40.61%chance
17410
OptionVotes
1009
991
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2033?
May 18, 12:47 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
56.27%chance
9365
OptionVotes
1134
882