Plus Me Limited News

4 months ago

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.25%chance

88143181

OptionVotes

YES

106395

18257

Will any AI music I release achieve 10,000 listens on Soundcloud in 2025?

Jan 9, 12:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.06%chance

8027635

OptionVotes

YES

4333

231

Will a radio station play any AI music I create in 2025?

Jan 10, 6:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.63%chance

5924509

OptionVotes

YES

5152

194

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Jun 17, 4:16 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

1924493

OptionProbability

It will have a new character (not just a revision or morph)

In mid 2026 there will be more concurrent players on StS 2 than on StS 1

Jorbs will play it on twitch live in the first week of release

It will have four playable characters on release

There will be some game mechanic like ascension levels but they will go higher or take more steps than sts1's ascension 20

The final boss will be the heart (or some obvious natural evolution of that character)

All current cards for at least one character will be playable

It will be released first in 2024

It will be released first in 2025

Will any AI music I release achieve a Manifold rating >= 5 in 2025?

Jan 1, 9:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.35%chance

2923870

OptionVotes

YES

2795

358

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2030?

Jun 2, 5:05 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

51.74%chance

161655

OptionVotes

YES

1035

966

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2035?

May 17, 1:38 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

64.73%chance

10694

OptionVotes

YES

1355

738

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2032?

May 20, 5:26 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

51.41%chance

10600

OptionVotes

YES

1029

972

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2031?

May 21, 10:16 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

52.9%chance

7592

OptionVotes

YES

1060

944

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM

40.61%chance

17410

OptionVotes

YES

1009

991

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2033?

May 18, 12:47 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

57.55%chance

10395

OptionVotes

YES

1164

859

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

50.47%chance

3107

OptionVotes

YES

1059

1041

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Prediction markets for Plus Me Limited

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Prediction markets for Plus Me Limited

Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?

Will any AI music I release achieve 10,000 listens on Soundcloud in 2025?

Will a radio station play any AI music I create in 2025?

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Will any AI music I release achieve a Manifold rating >= 5 in 2025?

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2030?

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2035?

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2032?

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2031?

Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027

Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2033?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

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