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Prediction markets for PM

Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?

Oct 17, 8:02 AMOct 24, 8:59 PM

8239206

OptionProbability

Naftali Bennet

Bibi netanyahu

Other

Benny Ganz

Gadi Eisenkot

Yair Lapid

Avigdor Liberman

Betzalel Smotrich

Danny Danon

Yair Golan

Yossi Cohen

Nir Barkat

52

28

8

3

3

2

2

1

1

0

0

0

Will anyone but Netanyahu be Isreali PM before the end of 2029

May 19, 4:17 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

93.89%chance

19918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1697

912

Canadian PM Mark Carney's approval rating at end of 2025?

May 26, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7530

OptionProbability

36-39%

40-45%

46-50%+

30-35%

25-29% (or lower)

31

28

21

13

6

If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?

Mar 13, 5:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4240

OptionProbability

Louise Haigh

Darren Jones

Keir Starmer

Shabana Mahmood

Angela Rayner

Andy Burnham

Wes Streeting

Yvette Cooper

Bridget Phillipson

Lisa Nandy

Rachel Reeves

41

41

36

35

34

34

28

28

28

28

24

Will Rahul Gandhi be the PM of India In the next 10 years ?

Aug 21, 2:33 PMApr 21, 6:29 PM

26.24%chance

9138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

269

178

If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?

May 5, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:58 PM

2100

OptionProbability

Nigel Farage

20

If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?

Dec 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

488

OptionProbability

Green

Liberal Democrats

Other

Your Party

72

13

10

5

If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour?

Sep 23, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

352

OptionProbability

Lucy Powell

Bridget Phillipson

35

33

Will current greek PM Kyriakos Mitsotakis be reelected for a third term in the next elections?

Dec 16, 4:28 AMJun 30, 10:59 PM

60.18%chance

543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

159

If the PM after the next UK election is Reform, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

Sep 24, 3:43 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

135

OptionProbability

100 - 200

200 - 300

0 - 100

300 - 400

400 - 500

Above 500

30

23

12

12

12

12

Will Amit Shah become the PM of India before 2035?

Oct 16, 9:21 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

30.06%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

68

If the PM after the next UK election is Labour, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

Sep 24, 3:41 PMDec 31, 4:26 PM

122

OptionProbability

100 - 200

0 - 100

200 - 300

300 - 400

400 - 500

Above 500

33

20

12

12

12

12

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