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Prediction markets for PM Fix

Will i be banned from Manifold for market manipulation and/or fixing markets before the end of the year?

Jun 8, 5:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.52%chance

8236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

54

Will the French government experience a borrowing incident before December 31, 2027?

Oct 2, 11:17 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

15.9%chance

3160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

43

Will Manifold start auto-collapsing bot comments by November 15, 2026?

Oct 14, 8:11 PMNov 16, 7:59 AM

23.41%chance

8105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

90

how many agent skills will there be at EOY 2026?

Feb 11, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

396

OptionProbability

>800k

100k-200k

400k-800k

< 100k

200k-400k

72

8

8

6

6

Will Manifold Markets implement one of my suggestions by Midnight Pacific Time, December 23, 2026? (12/23/26)

Jul 22, 2:05 PMDec 22, 11:59 PM

35.8%chance

456

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

75

Will Valve release Dota 2 patch 7.42 by November 17, 2026?

Nov 4, 1:42 AMNov 16, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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