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Top stories

BOJ Board Member Takata to Deliver Hiroshima Speech on Oct. 20

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Policy Board

Who will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?

Apr 25, 11:04 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

3215928

OptionProbability

Kevin Warsh

Someone else

Kevin Hassett

Arthur Laffer

Larry Kudlow

Judy Shelton

93

6

0

0

0

0

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

58.08%chance

9013035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1177

850

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.8%chance

1711205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

831

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM

25.1%chance

452694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

36%chance

141088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

750

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.21%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Nov 15, 11:31 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

264

OptionProbability

Cheryl Venable

Paula Tkac

Other

Kartik Athreya

37

25

24

14

⛹️🧑‍🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)

Mar 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

115

OptionProbability

Arizona State

UPenn

UCLA

University of Oregon

Yale

50

50

41

41

41

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