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Top stories

BOJ Board Member Takata to Deliver Hiroshima Speech on Oct. 20

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Policy Board

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

93.08%chance

3216242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3670

273

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

59.06%chance

9213274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1201

833

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

9.68%chance

183276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3056

327

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

Fed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]

Jun 28, 11:54 PMDec 10, 6:59 AM

14477

OptionProbability

October Meeting

September Meeting

July Meeting

60

37

0

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?

May 16, 6:06 AMNov 3, 3:25 AM

2353

OptionProbability

No change

Increase

Decrease

80

16

4

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.21%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?

May 16, 5:51 AMSep 29, 4:25 AM

3100

OptionProbability

No change

Increase

Decrease

62

30

7

Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?

Jul 14, 11:03 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

27.84%chance

798

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?

Aug 8, 4:13 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

25.71%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

170

59

⛹️🧑‍🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)

Mar 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

115

OptionProbability

Arizona State

UPenn

UCLA

University of Oregon

Yale

50

50

41

41

41

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