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Prediction markets for Potato

Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?

Jul 26, 4:22 AMJun 26, 6:59 AM

10.22%chance

408225581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6320

876

What items will be included in the first meal eaten on the Martian surface?

Apr 7, 3:27 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

292138

OptionProbability

Water

Salt

Potatoes

Soy protein

Black Pepper

Fruit Juice

Green Beans

Coffee

Rice

Onion

Tomatoes

Bacon

Yeast-Leavened Bread

Erythritol

Lima Beans

Yam

Ground Beef

Chicken

Lettuce

Aspartame

98

95

72

71

59

56

52

48

48

47

40

35

34

34

30

30

19

19

18

18

Will potatoes turn purple?

Aug 28, 9:32 PMSep 5, 5:59 AM

15.48%chance

10468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

307

150

What is the best way to make forward progress in theoretical physics?

May 20, 10:57 AMMay 11, 1:59 PM

10316

OptionProbability

String theory

Some other approach

Twistor theory

Loop quantum gravity

General work on quantum field theories

No progress is possible

Application of fisher information to physics

72

19

4

2

2

1

0

What will be the most grown plant on the moon at the end of 2050?

Apr 10, 1:29 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18310

OptionProbability

No plants will be known to be growing

Other

A novel species engineered for the purpose

Algae (non seaweed)

le moon grass

Strawberries

Potatoes

Seaweed

Duckweed

Flowers (of any kind)

Corn

Grass

Blueberries

Carrots

24

17

14

11

7

7

5

5

4

2

1

1

1

1

Will Ranch be dethroned as America's favorite salad dressing at least one year by the end of 2027?

Aug 26, 4:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.26%chance

5170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

37

Will the two Irish Tayto brands unite by 2030?

Feb 4, 1:08 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

47.49%chance

381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

70

When will Whole Foods stock beef tallow potato chips?

May 21, 3:43 AMJul 2, 3:32 AM

360

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2025 (Jun-Dec)

2030 (Jan-Jun)

19

19

19

19

13

13

Market resolution: "Will Bob eat a potato?" // "Resolves Yes if Bob eats pizza. Ice cream is a kind of pizza."

May 28, 1:40 PM

250

If you had to go on a date with Cabbage or Potato, which one would you pick?

Oct 1, 4:45 AM

60

If you had to go on a date with Cabbage or Sweet Potato, which one would you pick?

Oct 1, 4:45 AM

60

Convince me potatoes are the best food

Nov 7, 10:50 PM

00

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