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Prediction markets for Powell

Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?

Nov 7, 9:00 PMMay 16, 6:59 AM

3%chance

5919289

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5689

176

Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?

Jul 3, 1:14 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

10.55%chance

9115160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4025

132

Jerome Powell convicted on charges from the DOJ?

Jan 12, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.25%chance

185462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4746

211

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM

10.76%chance

462837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

35

Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Aug 19, 10:00 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

2.12%chance

241935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

681

15

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

34%chance

161626

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1394

718

Will Jesse Powell (co-founder of Kraken exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:12 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.9%chance

16897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

953

WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?

Jan 12, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

13460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.82%chance

10155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

61

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.14%chance

9125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

80

Enoch Powell Stock

Feb 4, 10:38 AM

115

OptionProbability

YES

NO

55

45

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