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Prediction markets for Powell

Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?

Nov 7, 9:00 PMMay 16, 6:59 AM

3.74%chance

5718636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5074

197

Will Trump attempt to fire Jerome Powell before May 2026?

Jul 3, 1:14 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

12.47%chance

8413707

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3863

153

Jerome Powell convicted on charges from the DOJ?

Jan 12, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.25%chance

185462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4746

211

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM

25.1%chance

452694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?

Apr 10, 3:10 PMApr 1, 2:59 AM

1%chance

231697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

17

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

36%chance

141088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

750

TRUMP VS. POWELL: THE ULTIMATE SHOWDOWN

Jan 29, 3:09 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

31.12%chance

14900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

672

Will Jesse Powell (co-founder of Kraken exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Dec 2, 5:12 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

8.9%chance

16897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

953

WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?

Jan 12, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

13460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Powell resigns if not re-appointed Fed chair?

Sep 18, 7:55 PMJun 15, 2:49 PM

43.64%chance

9187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

114

88

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.82%chance

10155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

61

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