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Prediction markets for Power Mining

Which space application will first use 1 MWe?

Sep 20, 12:35 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

92404

OptionProbability

Hosted data center

Cryptocurrency mining

Reflected sunlight

Manufacturing

Beamed power

63

17

11

5

3

Will the Sun be substantially disassembled before 2040?

Mar 17, 2:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.14%chance

252107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1591

936

Will there be oxygen production on the moon before 2053 ?

May 6, 2:31 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

81.03%chance

19656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1449

853

will Niger directly sell nuclear material to France in 2026?

Feb 6, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.21%chance

8577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

32

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?

Apr 24, 1:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.31%chance

11262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

315

108

Lynas reports at least one month production loss in 2026?

Nov 25, 1:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.98%chance

5110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

Will one country get 75% of world GDP before 2040?

Jun 28, 1:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.3%chance

545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

75

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