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Prediction markets for Power Mining

Which space application will first use 1 MWe?

Sep 20, 12:35 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

92097

OptionProbability

Cryptocurrency mining

Hosted data center

Reflected sunlight

Manufacturing

Beamed power

35

28

23

9

5

Will the Sun be substantially disassembled before 2040?

Mar 17, 2:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.43%chance

251784

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1909

923

Will Lynas LAMP NdPr oxide production exceed 3500 tonnes NdPr oxide on June 30, 2026?

Mar 20, 2:44 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

25.25%chance

21085

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1720

581

Will Iran retaliate against the US naval blockade by July 1 2026?

Apr 14, 5:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

82%chance

18760

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

90

Will there be oxygen production on the moon before 2053 ?

May 6, 2:31 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

81.03%chance

19656

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1449

853

will Niger directly sell nuclear material to France in 2026?

Feb 6, 10:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.89%chance

6318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

78

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?

Apr 24, 1:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.31%chance

11262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

315

108

Lynas reports at least one month production loss in 2026?

Nov 25, 1:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.98%chance

5110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

164

61

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