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PPP News

Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China?

Jun 21, 6:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79.9%chance

3113495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1450

838

Will Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?

Jan 27, 8:30 PMFeb 4, 4:59 AM

15.86%chance

152507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2303

434

Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?

Aug 18, 4:11 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.94%chance

352038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

794

Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?

Apr 26, 10:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.04%chance

171327

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

85

Will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?

May 9, 5:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.72%chance

191035

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

896

Conditional on CCP losing power, will China's GDP-PPP per capita catch up with EU by 2050?

May 9, 5:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48%chance

10221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

179

At what level of GDP per capita by PPP will India stagnate?

Apr 27, 6:59 PMApr 27, 6:53 PM

2210

OptionProbability

Ecuador

Brazil

Argentina

Bolivia

27

27

27

20

Will EU GDP exceed US GDP in the next 10 years? (PPP adjusted)

Aug 22, 10:50 PMAug 23, 6:59 AM

28.2%chance

7144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

90

If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?

Feb 6, 7:21 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

4112

OptionProbability

0.6% - 0.9%

0.9% - 1.2%

1.2% - 1.5%

< 0.0%

0.0% - 0.3%

0.3% - 0.6%

1.5% - 1.8%

1.8% - 2.1%

2.1% - 2.4%

2.4% - 2.7%

2.7% - 3.0%

> 3.0%

27

14

10

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

3

In what year will India's GDP PPP reach that of the United States?

Jun 9, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

471

OptionProbability

2040-2044

2035-2039

2045-2049

2050-2054

2055-2060

2030-2034

21

19

19

19

13

8

In what year will China's GDP PPP exceed quadruple that of the United States?

Jun 9, 12:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

142

OptionProbability

2060-2069

2070-2079

2080-2089

2090-2099

2100-2110

2050-2059

18

18

18

18

18

9

Will Nauru's GDP per capita (PPP) still be higher than Sudan's in 2028, according to the most recent estimate?

Jul 31, 3:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.22%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

123

89

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