PRA News

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.59%chance

472396309

OptionVotes

YES

3236

1913

Will 5,000+ people live in the city of Praxis before 2030?

Sep 18, 5:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.94%chance

423639

OptionVotes

YES

1223

1110

Will the US Government issue a statement criticising the Code of Practice of the EU AI Act in 2025?

May 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:21 PM

67.04%chance

303185

OptionVotes

YES

2582

1615

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.48%chance

252203

OptionVotes

YES

1583

632

Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?

Sep 14, 4:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.6%chance

231176

OptionVotes

YES

1023

921

Will AGI, net positive nuclear fusion, and practical quantum computers be realized by the end of 2039?

Sep 24, 10:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.14%chance

211172

OptionVotes

YES

1015

985

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

YES

1795

801

Will AGI, net positive nuclear fusion, and practical quantum computers be realized by the end of 2034?

Sep 24, 10:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.21%chance

17752

OptionVotes

YES

998

896

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

Dec 3, 7:04 AMJun 21, 8:59 PM

6717

OptionProbability

Giannis gets traded

At least 2 players make at least 300 threes

Sixers make the playoffs

Celtics make the playoffs

SGA wins MVP

Alperen Sengun makes an All NBA team

SGA has the highest EPM at the end of the season

Lakers are a top 3 seed

Milwaukee Bucks finish in the play-in spots

A 2024/2025 first/second team All-NBA player is traded

At least 3 coaches are fired before the playoff starts

Jokic finishes top 3 in pts/rebounds/assists (each of, not total)

Jayson Tatum plays at least 100 mins for the Celtics

Luka averages at least 34.5 ppg

Chet Holmgren wins DPOY

Pistons are first seed in the East

Thunder win at least 70 games

Victor Wembanyama plays at least 58 games

Bronny James plays at least 800 minutes

Knicks are a top 2 seed in the Eastern conference

SGA leads the league in total free throws

Thunder break Warriors 73-9 wins recor

At least two 70-point+ games

Jokic wins MVP

At least one player averages a 50/40/90 shooting season (at least 64 games)

Warriors miss the playoffs

LeBron plays at least 62 games

Luka wins MVP

Cooper Flagg outscores Luka's rookie PRA

Anthony Davis plays are least 50 games for the Mavs

James Harden leads the league in assists

Mavericks make the playoffs

Austin Reaves wins MIP

Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?

Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

66.02%chance

11286

OptionVotes

YES

1042

875

Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?

Aug 18, 10:58 PMAug 18, 10:57 PM

59.93%chance

7280

OptionVotes

YES

1223

818

Will the first Super Intelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (for any species) ?

Aug 18, 10:56 PMAug 18, 10:56 PM

51.44%chance

392

OptionVotes

YES

1079

1022

PRA News

Prediction markets for PRA

Prediction markets for PRA

Prediction markets for PRA

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Will 5,000+ people live in the city of Praxis before 2030?

Will the US Government issue a statement criticising the Code of Practice of the EU AI Act in 2025?

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Will the planned city of Praxis begin construction by 2030?

Will AGI, net positive nuclear fusion, and practical quantum computers be realized by the end of 2039?

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Will AGI, net positive nuclear fusion, and practical quantum computers be realized by the end of 2034?

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?

Will the first Superintelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (including if only for mammals)?

Will the first Super Intelligence try to end the practice of factory farming (for any species) ?

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