PREP News
Top stories
Prediction markets for PREP
Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?
Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.7%chance
161969
OptionVotes
1919
765
Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?
Mar 25, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.7%chance
191779
OptionVotes
1342
745
Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?
Dec 10, 4:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
71671
OptionProbability
100
66
25
24
24
23
23
23
23
23
22
21
21
21
20
19
18
18
18
18
17
16
15
14
13
Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?
Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
24.84%chance
71280
OptionVotes
3612
2144
Is the preprint proof of Goldbach's weak conjecture sound?
Oct 28, 3:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
81.17%chance
9215
OptionVotes
245
83
Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?
Aug 31, 11:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
26.16%chance
12212
OptionVotes
237
158
[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?
Oct 12, 10:19 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM
59.57%chance
471
OptionVotes
130
93
Class de 2031 vai ter a maior % de aprovações da história do prep?
Feb 9, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.07%chance
255
OptionVotes
140
72
By 2031, will MIRI still require the services of a CPA or equivalent professional to prepare their 2030 tax form?
Jul 11, 4:43 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM
63%chance
541
OptionVotes
123
100