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Prediction markets for Preqin

What will be the final net IRR for Thoma Bravo XV? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.04%chance

62250

OptionProbability

NO

YES

449

249

What will be the final net IRR for Warburg Pincus Global Growth 14? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

72.71%chance

112191

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1183

892

What will be the final net IRR for Berkshire Fund X? (X100)

Dec 2, 8:22 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.25%chance

72148

OptionProbability

NO

YES

464

271

What will be the final net IRR for Carlyle Partners VIII? (X100)

Dec 2, 7:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

52033

OptionProbability

NO

YES

409

269

What will be the final net IRR for Vector Capital VI? (X100)

Dec 2, 7:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.25%chance

42024

OptionProbability

NO

YES

415

236

What will be the final net IRR for Genstar Capital XI? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.2%chance

4145

OptionProbability

NO

YES

408

239

Will any fund eclipse the size of the SoftBank Vision Fund by 2030?

Dec 9, 8:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.16%chance

14134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

972

What will be the final net IRR for Apollo Investment Fund X? (X100)

Dec 7, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.85%chance

2105

OptionProbability

NO

YES

375

196

What will be the final net IRR for Siris Partners V? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63%chance

4104

OptionProbability

NO

YES

386

251

What will be the final net IRR for Symphony Technology Group VII? (X100)

Dec 6, 4:09 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.21%chance

561

OptionProbability

NO

YES

388

283

Will Blackstone have the largest est. dry powder of any private fund manager by the end of 2026?

Dec 9, 8:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.32%chance

853

OptionVotes

NO

YES

192

186

As of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?

Oct 6, 2:55 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

334

OptionProbability

Other

Ardian

Apollo

Blackstone

Lexington

56

33

6

3

2

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