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Prediction markets for Preservation

Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?

Nov 20, 3:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

39%chance

9112332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1767

574

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?

Oct 30, 12:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.73%chance

1056574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2843

1800

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49%chance

796013

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

1141

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075?

Oct 30, 12:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.15%chance

463088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1110

886

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?

Feb 13, 6:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15%chance

622988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1716

845

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?

Feb 13, 6:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.11%chance

251529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

867

Will Trump preserve Biden’s clean energy tax credits?

Mar 17, 4:27 PMJan 20, 7:59 AM

17.61%chance

71037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1983

625

Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?

Aug 16, 11:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.64%chance

8491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

930

Will cryonically-preserved brains remain preserved for as long as they need to be preserved?

Nov 25, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

41.75%chance

23423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

988

When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?

Jan 9, 8:36 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

3297

OptionProbability

2061 or beyond or never

2040-2045

2035-2040

2045-2050

2050-2055

2055-2060

2030-2035

2024-2030

34

11

10

10

10

10

9

5

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?

Feb 13, 6:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.28%chance

19276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

893

Will civilizational-preservation bunkers get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:42 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

80.25%chance

6261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

339

178

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