Prevent News

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.79%chance

1964882

OptionVotes

YES

6128

4633

[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?

Jul 20, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

68.25%chance

11456464

OptionVotes

YES

9350

3477

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Apr 10, 12:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.75%chance

15119264

OptionVotes

YES

1600

1594

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2026?

Apr 10, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.64%chance

345750

OptionVotes

YES

4178

694

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

5159

2655

Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment?

Oct 13, 3:05 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

204510

OptionProbability

Aella does not get new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment

Aella gets new cavities; >= 10000 people get treatment

Aella does not get new cavities; < 10000 people get treatment

Aella gets new cavities; < 10000 people get treatment

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?

Apr 14, 8:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.73%chance

303183

OptionVotes

YES

3190

569

Does Lantern Bioworks' product to prevent cavities also eliminate "morning breath"?

Apr 10, 8:58 PMDec 31, 5:01 AM

31.34%chance

382225

OptionVotes

YES

1284

777

Will a MrBeast publish a YouTube video in which he does malaria prevention philanthropy before the end of 2025?

Dec 26, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.12%chance

232001

OptionVotes

YES

1541

838

Will the federal government pass a law which would prevent hedge funds from owning single-family homes before 2026?

Dec 10, 1:54 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.14%chance

16673

OptionVotes

YES

1306

923

May the german Federal Police prevent an activist travelling to a protest in another country for reputation reasons?

Jul 5, 4:45 PMOct 14, 9:59 PM

27.05%chance

543

OptionVotes

YES

153

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

OptionProbability

San Dieguito Bridge to I-5 (tunnel)

under Crest Canyon (tunnel)

under Camino Del Mar (tunnel)

double-track & reinforce existing route on Del Mar Bluffs (no tunnel)

don't do anything ("no build")

Prevent News

Prediction markets for Prevent

Prediction markets for Prevent

Prediction markets for Prevent

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2026?

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment?

Will Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?

Does Lantern Bioworks' product to prevent cavities also eliminate "morning breath"?

Will a MrBeast publish a YouTube video in which he does malaria prevention philanthropy before the end of 2025?

Will the federal government pass a law which would prevent hedge funds from owning single-family homes before 2026?

May the german Federal Police prevent an activist travelling to a protest in another country for reputation reasons?

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

Latest stories