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Prediction markets for Prime Market

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8977067

OptionProbability

Nigel Farage

Keir Starmer

Other

Robert Jenrick

Kemi Badenoch

Angela Rayner

Andy Burnham

Ed Miliband

Wes Streeting

Zack Polanski

James Cleverly

Ed Davey

Boris Johnson

Louise Haigh

Rachel Reeves

Danny Kruger

Matt Clifford

Jeremy Clarkson

Jeremy Corbyn

Richard Tice

Rupert Lowe

Idris Elba

Lawrence Newport

38

17

16

5

3

3

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.1%chance

8512884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1377

1032

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.12%chance

428528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

864

Netanyahu ceases to be prime minister before a permanent Israel-Hamas ceasefire is reached?

Mar 19, 9:08 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

21.33%chance

447927

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

814

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

60.61%chance

261575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1452

364

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

Apr 30, 5:32 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

28.84%chance

5705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1571

637

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028?

Jul 19, 7:54 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.4%chance

14535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1351

740

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Tony Blair joins Trump's "Board of Peace" for Gaza?

Oct 4, 7:36 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

48%chance

8419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

996

Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?

Sep 10, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.99%chance

17377

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

943

Will Anthony Albanese be a popular prime minister at the end of 2025?

Sep 21, 5:16 PMDec 31, 1:00 PM

61.76%chance

6329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1271

787

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