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Prediction markets for Prime Market

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.1%chance

8512884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1377

1032

Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?

Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.46%chance

2512587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10935

9145

Hipkins+Luxon+Peters all leaders on day of next election?

Dec 23, 6:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.71%chance

1110335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3368

94

Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050?

Sep 8, 2:19 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

40.39%chance

319506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

823

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.33%chance

438578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

825

Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?

Feb 13, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.62%chance

284948

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1215

823

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

69.26%chance

292186

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1614

276

Credible reporting confirms former Norwegian PM Thorbjørn Jagland attempted suicide following Epstein files revelation?

Feb 24, 7:18 PMMay 24, 10:59 PM

48.66%chance

182162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

974

Will a full-scale military conflict between the US/Israel and Iran resume by May 31, 2026?

May 5, 9:42 PMMay 30, 11:59 PM

51.16%chance

16910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

977

Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028?

Jul 19, 7:54 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

30.66%chance

16688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1504

665

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

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