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Prediction markets for Prime Market

Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?

Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6260929

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Nigel Farage

Other

Robert Jenrick

Kemi Badenoch

Angela Rayner

James Cleverly

Jeremy Clarkson

Jeremy Corbyn

Boris Johnson

Richard Tice

Rupert Lowe

Ed Davey

Idris Elba

34

26

19

6

5

4

3

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will a blank-slate AI prove the infinitude of primes by 2025-11-03?

Nov 3, 6:08 PMNov 4, 5:59 AM

25%chance

14219615

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3527

720

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55%chance

8512836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1335

1081

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.12%chance

428528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

864

UK recognizes Palestine as a state at the UN General Assembly in September 2025

Jul 29, 8:41 PMSep 25, 11:59 PM

48%chance

151495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

961

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

26.31%chance

241090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

967

New pipeline project proposed in Canada in next 6 months?

Jun 8, 1:09 AMDec 8, 1:06 AM

29.7%chance

10751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

650

Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?

Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM

49.66%chance

3661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1007

993

Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028?

Jul 19, 7:54 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.25%chance

13510

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1326

754

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Netanyahu ceases to be prime minister before a permanent Israel-Hamas ceasefire is reached?

Mar 19, 9:08 PMSep 15, 12:00 AM

34.91%chance

11334

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

939

François Bayrou remains French PM through September 30, 2025?

Aug 7, 1:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

57.01%chance

3170

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

868

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