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Prediction markets for Private

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

Jul 31, 4:04 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6.31%chance

11324724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4193

414

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

64.94%chance

1522793

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13424

7530

Will Trump authorize privateers (i.e. issue letters of marque & reprisal) to go after drug cartels?

Jan 28, 2:21 AMDec 26, 7:59 AM

16.4%chance

156376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1739

87

Will Michael Nielsen agree by 2030 that private-only funding for science significantly improves the status quo?

Feb 5, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.1%chance

233895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

934

before 2026, will Telegram have given any government access to private messages of its users?

Aug 25, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.54%chance

303663

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2029

493

Will private astronauts land on the moon within 5 years of NASA astronauts or earlier?

Sep 3, 4:53 PMJan 10, 11:59 PM

72.41%chance

463276

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1590

614

Will the USPS be privatized by the end of Trump's term as president?

Dec 14, 5:30 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

34.76%chance

303143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1370

730

Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?

Mar 15, 4:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73.71%chance

23965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1621

649

Will Apple provide private user data to the UK government before the end of 2027?

Feb 22, 3:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.55%chance

5697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will the United States Postal Service be Privatized before the end of 2032?

Dec 17, 2:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.21%chance

11384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

1014

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.1%chance

2102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

AV Question #1: [Private]

Jun 10, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

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