Private Equity News

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

61.49%chance

2133381

OptionVotes

YES

12451

8103

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.85%chance

1412778

OptionVotes

YES

22391

5186

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.56%chance

265578

OptionVotes

YES

1545

648

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

1541

900

Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?

Dec 7, 4:27 AMJan 1, 4:24 AM

23.89%chance

8612

OptionVotes

YES

1571

740

Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?

Dec 7, 4:28 AMDec 7, 4:28 AM

31.34%chance

5400

OptionVotes

YES

1255

859

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

What will be the final net IRR for Blackstone IX? (X100)

Dec 9, 8:22 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.86%chance

487

OptionProbability

YES

395

245

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

Jul 3, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.97%chance

459

OptionVotes

YES

108

Private Equity News

Prediction markets for Private Equity

Prediction markets for Private Equity

Prediction markets for Private Equity

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?

Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

What will be the final net IRR for Blackstone IX? (X100)

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

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