Private Equity News

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.5%chance

2365863

OptionVotes

YES

55552

2477

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

55.06%chance

2236326

OptionVotes

YES

10879

9227

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.06%chance

5716388

OptionVotes

YES

1784

561

Will Elon Musk be the richest man on earth by the end of 2026?

Mar 20, 9:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

96.53%chance

567387

OptionVotes

YES

527

Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?

Dec 7, 4:27 AMJan 1, 4:24 AM

3.32%chance

205871

OptionVotes

YES

5930

305

Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?

Dec 7, 4:28 AMDec 7, 4:28 AM

7.39%chance

112720

OptionVotes

YES

3575

428

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

1541

900

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Jun 3, 5:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

4426

OptionVotes

YES

510

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Which acquired improv theatre will be dumped first?

Feb 11, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1140

OptionProbability

Second City

UCB

None, these will be the first-ever private equity acquisitions to thrive

Polymarket offers perps on private equities by EOY?

May 19, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.43%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

135

Will Polymarket have perps on private equity valuations before Kalshi?

Jul 19, 3:24 PMDec 31, 4:24 PM

75%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Private Equity News

Prediction markets for Private Equity

Prediction markets for Private Equity

Prediction markets for Private Equity

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Will Elon Musk be the richest man on earth by the end of 2026?

Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?

Will OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Which acquired improv theatre will be dumped first?

Polymarket offers perps on private equities by EOY?

Will Polymarket have perps on private equity valuations before Kalshi?

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