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Prediction markets for Product Commerce

In what year will Google or Meta release a commercial facial recognition search product?

Oct 10, 1:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93224

OptionProbability

2026 or later

2023

2024

2025

99

0

0

0

Will hemp-derived CBN sleep products still be federally legal as “hemp” on Nov 12, 2026?

Nov 13, 4:55 AMNov 12, 4:47 AM

28.79%chance

61530

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1573

636

Will any US state (or DC) ban the sale of unrestricted 3D printers before 2030

Feb 23, 5:22 PMDec 31, 5:17 PM

59.61%chance

7201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

59

Will the US enact export controls on energy products in 2026?

Mar 13, 1:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26%chance

7182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

86

Will the Defense Production Act be invoked in 2026?

Feb 25, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.57%chance

7165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

83

Will China's Dec 2025 export rules cut NdPr supply by more than 10% in H1 2026?

Feb 20, 6:09 AMAug 19, 6:09 AM

50.73%chance

199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

910

Will Bryce H generate at least $1 in PROFIT from entrepreneurial ventures?

Jan 3, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.13%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

165

61

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

270

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