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Prediction markets for Productivity Commission
Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
76.13%chance
1611407
OptionVotes
25950
9022
Will Lynas LAMP samarium oxide production exceed 5 tonnes Sm₂O₃ on June 30, 2026?
Mar 20, 2:44 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM
0.84%chance
1411211
OptionVotes
10868
92
Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
79.08%chance
59574
OptionVotes
19443
5143
Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027?
Apr 7, 1:26 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
21.45%chance
58495
OptionVotes
17608
6638
Will the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM
32.79%chance
33501
OptionVotes
12321
8650
Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
46.5%chance
53075
OptionVotes
10725
9324
Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM
28.58%chance
42706
OptionVotes
12128
9013
OptionVotes
1031
884
OptionVotes
338
101
Will China alumina production exceed 85 Mt as of October 2027?
May 4, 5:15 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
78.98%chance
3150
OptionVotes
173
69
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 10000 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Mar 30, 9:47 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
72%chance
360
OptionVotes
110
1
Will CBMM Araxá high-purity Nb2O5 nameplate capacity exceed 500 tpa on December 31, 2026?
Mar 30, 9:46 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM
79.28%chance
160
OptionVotes
160
78